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Predictions for the rates of compact binary coalescences observable by ground-based gravitational-wave detectors

Abadie, J. and Abbott, B. P. and Abbott, R. and Adhikari, Rana X. and Ajith, P. and Anderson, S. B. and Araya, M. and Aronsson, M. and Aso, Y. and Ballmer, S. and Betzwieser, J. and Billingsley, G. and Black, E. and Blackburn, J. K. and Bork, R. and Brooks, A. F. and Cannon, K. C. and Cepeda, C. and Chalermsongsak, T. and Coyne, D. C. and Dannenberg, R. and Daudert, B. and Dergachev, V. and DeSalvo, R. and Driggers, J. C. and Ehrens, P. and Engel, R. and Etzel, T. and Gustafson, E. K. and Hanna, C. and Heefner, J. and Heptonstall, A. and Hodge, K. A. and Ivanov, A. and Kalmus, P. and Kells, W. and Keppel, D. G. and King, P. J. and Kondrashov, V. and Kozak, D. and Lazzarini, A. and Lindquist, P. E. and Mageswaran, M. and Mailand, K. and Mak, C. and Maros, E. and Marx, J. N. and McIntyre, G. and Meshkov, S. and Mitra, S. and Nash, T. and Ogin, G. H. and Osthelder, C. and Patel, P. and Pedraza, M. and Privitera, S. and Robertson, N. A. and Sannibale, V. and Searle, A. C. and Seifert, F. and Sengupta, A. S. and Singer, A. and Smith, M. R. and Stochino, A. and Taylor, R. and Torrie, C. I. and Vass, S. and Villar, A. and Wallace, L. and Ward, R. L. and Whitcomb, S. E. and Willems, P. A. and Yamamoto, H. and Yeaton-Massey, D. and Zhang, L. and Boyle, M. and Chen, Y. and Luan, J. and Mino, Y. and Somiya, K. and Thorne, K. S. and Vallisneri, M. and Wen, L. and Drever, R. W. P. and Weinstein, Alan J. (2010) Predictions for the rates of compact binary coalescences observable by ground-based gravitational-wave detectors. Classical and Quantum Gravity, 27 (17). Art. No. 173001 . ISSN 0264-9381. http://resolver.caltech.edu/CaltechAUTHORS:20100811-144535085

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Abstract

We present an up-to-date, comprehensive summary of the rates for all types of compact binary coalescence sources detectable by the initial and advanced versions of the ground-based gravitational-wave detectors LIGO and Virgo. Astrophysical estimates for compact-binary coalescence rates depend on a number of assumptions and unknown model parameters and are still uncertain. Themost confident among these estimates are the rate predictions for coalescing binary neutron stars which are based on extrapolations from observed binary pulsars in our galaxy. These yield a likely coalescence rate of 100 Myr^(−1) per Milky Way Equivalent Galaxy (MWEG), although the rate could plausibly range from 1 Myr^(−1) MWEG^(−1) to 1000 Myr^(−1) MWEG^(−1) (Kalogera et al 2004 Astrophys. J. 601 L179; Kalogera et al 2004 Astrophys. J. 614 L137 (erratum)). We convert coalescence rates into detection rates based on data from the LIGO S5 and Virgo VSR2 science runs and projected sensitivities for our advanced detectors. Using the detector sensitivities derived from these data, we find a likely detection rate of 0.02 per year for Initial LIGO–Virgo interferometers, with a plausible range between 2 × 10^(−4) and 0.2 per year. The likely binary neutron–star detection rate for the Advanced LIGO–Virgo network increases to 40 events per year, with a range between 0.4 and 400 per year.


Item Type:Article
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http://dx.doi.org/10.1088/0264-9381/27/17/173001 DOIUNSPECIFIED
http://iopscience.iop.org/0264-9381/27/17/173001/PublisherUNSPECIFIED
http://stacks.iop.org/CQG/27/173001PublisherUNSPECIFIED
ORCID:
AuthorORCID
Weinstein, Alan J.0000-0002-0928-6784
Additional Information:© 2010 IOP Publishing Ltd. Received 26 March 2010, in final form 15 May 2010. Published 16 July 2010. The authors gratefully acknowledge the support of the United States National Science Foundation for the construction and operation of the LIGO Laboratory, the Science and Technology Facilities Council of the United Kingdom, the Max-Planck-Society, the State of Niedersachsen/Germany for support of the construction and operation of the GEO600 detector, and the Italian Istituto Nazionale di Fisica Nucleare and the French Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique for the construction and operation of the Virgo detector. The authors also gratefully acknowledge the support of the research by these agencies and by the Australian Research Council, the Council of Scientific and Industrial Research of India, the Istituto Nazionale di Fisica Nucleare of Italy, the Spanish Ministerio de Educación y Ciencia, the Conselleria d’Economia Hisenda i Innovació of the Govern de les Illes Balears, the Foundation for Fundamental Research on Matter supported by the Netherlands Organisation for Scientific Research, the Polish Ministry of Science and Higher Education, the FOCUS Programme of Foundation for Polish Science, the Royal Society, the Scottish Funding Council, the Scottish Universities Physics Alliance, The National Aeronautics and Space Administration, the Carnegie Trust, the Leverhulme Trust, the David and Lucile Packard Foundation, the Research Corporation and the Alfred P Sloan Foundation. One of us (CK) would like to acknowledge the European Commission.
Group:TAPIR
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Funding AgencyGrant Number
Australian Research Council UNSPECIFIED
Council of Scientific and Industrial Research of India UNSPECIFIED
Istituto Nazionale di Fisica Nucleare of Italy UNSPECIFIED
Spanish Ministerio de Educacion y Ciencia UNSPECIFIED
Conselleria d'Economia Hisenda i Innovacio of the Govern de les Illes Balears UNSPECIFIED
Netherlands Organisation for Scientific Research UNSPECIFIED
Polish Ministry of Science and Higher Education UNSPECIFIED
Foundation for Polish Science UNSPECIFIED
Royal Society UNSPECIFIED
Scottish Funding Council UNSPECIFIED
Scottish Universities Physics Alliance UNSPECIFIED
NASAUNSPECIFIED
Carnegie Trust UNSPECIFIED
Leverhulme Trust UNSPECIFIED
David and Lucile Packard Foundation UNSPECIFIED
Research CorporationUNSPECIFIED
Alfred P Sloan Foundation UNSPECIFIED
European Commission UNSPECIFIED
Classification Code:PACS: 95.55.Ym; 97.60.Jd; 97.60.Gb; 07.60.Ly; 04.80.Nn; 98.35.Jk
Record Number:CaltechAUTHORS:20100811-144535085
Persistent URL:http://resolver.caltech.edu/CaltechAUTHORS:20100811-144535085
Official Citation:J Abadie et al 2010 Class. Quantum Grav. 27 173001 doi: 10.1088/0264-9381/27/17/173001
Usage Policy:No commercial reproduction, distribution, display or performance rights in this work are provided.
ID Code:19399
Collection:CaltechAUTHORS
Deposited By: Tony Diaz
Deposited On:13 Aug 2010 22:00
Last Modified:12 Aug 2014 20:51

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