Harris, R. A. and Barall, M. and Andrews, D. J. and Duan, B. and Ma, S. and Dunham, E. M. and Gabriel, A.-A. and Kaneko, Y. and Kase, Y. and Aagaard, B. T. and Oglesby, D. D. and Ampuero, J.-P. and Hanks, T. C. and Abrahamson, N.
(2011)
Verifying a Computational Method for Predicting Extreme Ground Motion.
Seismological Research Letters, 82
(5).
pp. 638-644.
ISSN 0895-0695.
doi:10.1785/gssrl.82.5.638.
https://resolver.caltech.edu/CaltechAUTHORS:20111004-120309692
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Abstract
Large earthquakes strike infrequently and close-in recordings are uncommon. This situation makes it difficult to predict the ground motion very close to earthquake-generating faults, if the prediction is to be based on readily available observations. A solution might be to cover the Earth with seismic instruments so that one could rely on the data from previous events to predict future shaking. However, even in the case of complete seismic data coverage for hundreds of years, there would still be
one type of earthquake that would be difficult to predict: those very rare earthquakes that produce very large ground motion.
| Item Type: | Article |
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| Additional Information: | © 2011 Seismological Society of America.
Funding for the Rupture Dynamics Code Verification Exercise
has come from the Southern California Earthquake Center
(funded by NSF Cooperative Agreement EAR-0106924
and USGS Cooperative Agreements 02HQAG0008), internal
USGS Earthquake Hazards Program funds, the U.S.
Department of Energy Extreme Ground Motions project, and
Pacific Gas and Electric Company. Thanks to Tom Jordan for
his support of this project and to Phil Maechling for helping us with the logistics of the code-validation Web site. This manuscript benefited from helpful reviews by SRL reviewer Peter Moczo and USGS internal reviewers David Boore and Woody Savage. This is SCEC contribution number 1473. |
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| Group: | Seismological Laboratory |
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| Funders: | | Funding Agency | Grant Number |
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| NSF | EAR-0106924 | | USGS | 02HQAG0008 | | USGS Earthquake Hazards Program | UNSPECIFIED | | Department of Energy (DOE) | UNSPECIFIED | | Pacific Gas and Electric Company | UNSPECIFIED |
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| Other Numbering System: | | Other Numbering System Name | Other Numbering System ID |
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| Southern California Earthquake Center (SCEC) | 1473 |
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| Issue or Number: | 5 |
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| DOI: | 10.1785/gssrl.82.5.638 |
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| Record Number: | CaltechAUTHORS:20111004-120309692 |
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| Persistent URL: | https://resolver.caltech.edu/CaltechAUTHORS:20111004-120309692 |
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| Usage Policy: | No commercial reproduction, distribution, display or performance rights in this work are provided. |
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| ID Code: | 25635 |
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| Collection: | CaltechAUTHORS |
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| Deposited By: | INVALID USER |
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| Deposited On: | 04 Oct 2011 22:50 |
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| Last Modified: | 09 Nov 2021 16:35 |
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