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Verifying a Computational Method for Predicting Extreme Ground Motion

Harris, R. A. and Barall, M. and Andrews, D. J. and Duan, B. and Ma, S. and Dunham, E. M. and Gabriel, A.-A. and Kaneko, Y. and Kase, Y. and Aagaard, B. T. and Oglesby, D. D. and Ampuero, J.-P. and Hanks, T. C. and Abrahamson, N. (2011) Verifying a Computational Method for Predicting Extreme Ground Motion. Seismological Research Letters, 82 (5). pp. 638-644. ISSN 0895-0695. doi:10.1785/gssrl.82.5.638.

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Large earthquakes strike infrequently and close-in recordings are uncommon. This situation makes it difficult to predict the ground motion very close to earthquake-generating faults, if the prediction is to be based on readily available observations. A solution might be to cover the Earth with seismic instruments so that one could rely on the data from previous events to predict future shaking. However, even in the case of complete seismic data coverage for hundreds of years, there would still be one type of earthquake that would be difficult to predict: those very rare earthquakes that produce very large ground motion.

Item Type:Article
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URLURL TypeDescription
Gabriel, A.-A.0000-0003-0112-8412
Ampuero, J.-P.0000-0002-4827-7987
Additional Information:© 2011 Seismological Society of America. Funding for the Rupture Dynamics Code Verification Exercise has come from the Southern California Earthquake Center (funded by NSF Cooperative Agreement EAR-0106924 and USGS Cooperative Agreements 02HQAG0008), internal USGS Earthquake Hazards Program funds, the U.S. Department of Energy Extreme Ground Motions project, and Pacific Gas and Electric Company. Thanks to Tom Jordan for his support of this project and to Phil Maechling for helping us with the logistics of the code-validation Web site. This manuscript benefited from helpful reviews by SRL reviewer Peter Moczo and USGS internal reviewers David Boore and Woody Savage. This is SCEC contribution number 1473.
Group:Seismological Laboratory
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USGS Earthquake Hazards ProgramUNSPECIFIED
Department of Energy (DOE)UNSPECIFIED
Pacific Gas and Electric CompanyUNSPECIFIED
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Southern California Earthquake Center (SCEC)1473
Issue or Number:5
Record Number:CaltechAUTHORS:20111004-120309692
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Usage Policy:No commercial reproduction, distribution, display or performance rights in this work are provided.
ID Code:25635
Deposited On:04 Oct 2011 22:50
Last Modified:09 Nov 2021 16:35

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