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Poststratification Without Population Level Information on the Poststratifying Variable With Application to Political Polling

Reilly, Cavan and Gelman, Andrew and Katz, Jonathan N. (2001) Poststratification Without Population Level Information on the Poststratifying Variable With Application to Political Polling. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 96 (453). pp. 1-11. ISSN 0162-1459. https://resolver.caltech.edu/CaltechAUTHORS:20140314-120456999

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Abstract

We investigate the construction of more precise estimates of a collection of population means using information about a related variable in the context of repeated sample surveys. The method is illustrated using poll results concerning presidential approval rating (our related variable is political party identification). We use poststratification to construct these improved estimates, but because we do not have population level information on the poststratifying variable, we construct a model for the manner in which the poststratifier develops over time. In this manner, we obtain more precise estimates without making possibly untenable assumptions about the dynamics of our variable of interest, the presidential approval rating.


Item Type:Article
Related URLs:
URLURL TypeDescription
http://dx.doi.org/10.1198/016214501750332640DOIArticle
http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1198/016214501750332640PublisherArticle
ORCID:
AuthorORCID
Katz, Jonathan N.0000-0002-5287-3503
Additional Information:© 2001 American Statistical Association. Received June 1999. Revised July 2000. C. Reilly and A. Gelman thank the NSF for grant SBR-97-08424 and Young Investigator Award DMS-97-96129, and J. Katz thanks the John M. Olin Foundation.
Funders:
Funding AgencyGrant Number
NSFSBR-97-08424
NSFDMS-97-96129
John M. Olin FoundationUNSPECIFIED
Subject Keywords:Bayesian inference, Poststratification, Sample surveys, State-space models
Issue or Number:453
Record Number:CaltechAUTHORS:20140314-120456999
Persistent URL:https://resolver.caltech.edu/CaltechAUTHORS:20140314-120456999
Usage Policy:No commercial reproduction, distribution, display or performance rights in this work are provided.
ID Code:44339
Collection:CaltechAUTHORS
Deposited By: Jonathan Katz
Deposited On:17 Mar 2014 17:20
Last Modified:03 Oct 2019 06:16

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