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Estimating Partisan Bias of the Electoral College Under Proposed Changes in Elector Apportionment

Thomas, A. C. and Gelman, Andrew and King, Gary and Katz, Jonathan N. (2013) Estimating Partisan Bias of the Electoral College Under Proposed Changes in Elector Apportionment. Statistics, Politics and Policy, 4 (1). pp. 1-13. ISSN 2151-7509. doi:10.1515/spp-2012-0001.

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In the election for President of the United States, the Electoral College is the body whose members vote to elect the President directly. Each state sends a number of delegates equal to its total number of representatives and senators in Congress; all but two states (Nebraska and Maine) assign electors pledged to the candidate that wins the state’s plurality vote. We investigate the effect on presidential elections if states were to assign their electoral votes according to results in each congressional district, and conclude that the direct popular vote and the current electoral college are both substantially fairer compared to those alternatives where states would have divided their electoral votes by congressional district.

Item Type:Article
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URLURL TypeDescription
King, Gary0000-0002-5327-7631
Katz, Jonathan N.0000-0002-5287-3503
Additional Information:© 2013 Walter de Gruyter. Published Online: 2013-01-11.
Issue or Number:1
Record Number:CaltechAUTHORS:20140314-120457077
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Usage Policy:No commercial reproduction, distribution, display or performance rights in this work are provided.
ID Code:44340
Deposited By: Jonathan Katz
Deposited On:17 Mar 2014 16:44
Last Modified:10 Nov 2021 16:51

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