Hitchcock, Christopher (2004) Beauty and the Bets. Synthese, 139 (3). pp. 405-420. ISSN 0039-7857. https://resolver.caltech.edu/CaltechAUTHORS:20140407-114023925
Full text is not posted in this repository. Consult Related URLs below.
Use this Persistent URL to link to this item: https://resolver.caltech.edu/CaltechAUTHORS:20140407-114023925
Abstract
In the Sleeping Beauty problem, Beauty is uncertain whether the outcome of a certain coin toss was heads or tails. One argument suggests that her degree of belief in heads should be 1/3, while a second suggests that it should be 1/2. Prima facie, the argument for 1/2 appears to be stronger. I offer a diachronic Dutch Book argument in favor of 1/3. Even for those who are not routinely persuaded by diachronic Dutch Book arguments, this one has some important morals.
Item Type: | Article | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Related URLs: |
| |||||||||
Additional Information: | © 2004 Kluwer Academic Publishers. | |||||||||
Issue or Number: | 3 | |||||||||
Record Number: | CaltechAUTHORS:20140407-114023925 | |||||||||
Persistent URL: | https://resolver.caltech.edu/CaltechAUTHORS:20140407-114023925 | |||||||||
Official Citation: | Hitchcock, C. Synthese (2004) 139: 405. https://doi.org/10.1023/B:SYNT.0000024889.29125.c0 | |||||||||
Usage Policy: | No commercial reproduction, distribution, display or performance rights in this work are provided. | |||||||||
ID Code: | 44701 | |||||||||
Collection: | CaltechAUTHORS | |||||||||
Deposited By: | INVALID USER | |||||||||
Deposited On: | 07 Apr 2014 22:42 | |||||||||
Last Modified: | 03 Oct 2019 06:21 |
Repository Staff Only: item control page