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Do All and Only Causes Raise the Probabilities of Effects?

Hitchcock, Christopher (2004) Do All and Only Causes Raise the Probabilities of Effects? In: Causation and Counterfactuals. MIT Press , Cambridge MA, pp. 403-417. ISBN 9780262270663. https://resolver.caltech.edu/CaltechAUTHORS:20140408-144023898

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Abstract

[Introduction] According to probabilistic theories of causation, causes raise the probabilities of their effects. Opponents of probabilistic theories of causation offer putative counterexamples. A moment's reflection should lead us to expect such counterexamples to be of two types: (1) causes that appear not to raise the probabilities of their effects; and (2) events that appear to raise the probabilities of other events, without causing those events. Almost all of the cases that have been discussed in the literature have been of the first sort; these can be effectively handled using resources that are already available. Counterexamples of the second sort, which have been largely ignored, still pose a threat. I will explore some options for avoiding these counterexamples, and more important, argue that they raise fundamental questions about the nature of indeterministic causation-questions that transcend issues about the correctness of any particular philosophical theory.


Item Type:Book Section
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http://mitpress.mit.edu/books/causation-and-counterfactualsPublisherBook Publisher
Additional Information:© 2004 MIT Press. For helpful comments and suggestions, thanks go to Joseph Berkovitz, Phil Dowe, Ellery Eells, Dan Hausman, Paul Humphreys, Igal Kvart, Laurie Paul, Jon Schaffer, and Jim Woodward.
Record Number:CaltechAUTHORS:20140408-144023898
Persistent URL:https://resolver.caltech.edu/CaltechAUTHORS:20140408-144023898
Usage Policy:No commercial reproduction, distribution, display or performance rights in this work are provided.
ID Code:44796
Collection:CaltechAUTHORS
Deposited By: Susan Vite
Deposited On:09 Apr 2014 17:12
Last Modified:24 Feb 2021 22:35

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