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A retrospective on retrospective voting

Kiewiet, D. Roderick and Rivers, Douglas (1984) A retrospective on retrospective voting. Political Behavior, 6 (4). pp. 369-393. ISSN 0190-9320. https://resolver.caltech.edu/CaltechAUTHORS:20160218-121150529

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Abstract

This paper critically reviews the extensive literature on retrospective voting in response to economic conditions. Each of the major types of analyses which have been performed — time-series analyses of national vote totals, presidential popularity, and cross-sectional analyses of individual survey responses — has raised several interesting and important questions. The answers that have been obtained, however, are only partial and limited, as each of these approaches entails serious problems of estimation and interpretation. Further progress in this area, we argue, requires explicit treatment of conceptual and statistical issues that have hindered previous research: the dynamic formulation of expectations and preferences, the incidence of policy (and nonpolicy) effects across the population, and notions of incumbency and political responsibility.


Item Type:Article
Related URLs:
URLURL TypeDescription
http://www.jstor.org/stable/586342JSTORArticle
http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/BF00987073DOIArticle
Additional Information:© 1984 Agathon Press, Inc. Acknowledgments. Though we alone bear responsibility for the contents of this paper, we have benefited from conversations over the past few years on this topic with Morris Fiorina, Douglas Hibbs, Donald Kinder, and Gerald Kramer. The National Science Foundation provided research support under grant SES-8309994.
Funders:
Funding AgencyGrant Number
NSFSES-8309994
Subject Keywords:Political Science ; Sociology ; Political Psychology
Issue or Number:4
Record Number:CaltechAUTHORS:20160218-121150529
Persistent URL:https://resolver.caltech.edu/CaltechAUTHORS:20160218-121150529
Official Citation:Kiewiet, D. R., & Rivers, D.. (1984). A Retrospective on Retrospective Voting. Political Behavior, 6(4), 369–393. Retrieved from http://www.jstor.org/stable/586342
Usage Policy:No commercial reproduction, distribution, display or performance rights in this work are provided.
ID Code:64561
Collection:CaltechAUTHORS
Deposited By: Susan Vite
Deposited On:22 Feb 2016 22:21
Last Modified:03 Oct 2019 09:39

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