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Improving our fundamental understanding of the role of aerosol−cloud interactions in the climate system

Seinfeld, John H. and Bretherton, Christopher and Carslaw, Kenneth S. and Coe, Hugh and DeMott, Paul J. and Dunlea, Edward J. and Feingold, Graham and Ghan, Steven and Guenther, Alex B. and Kahn, Ralph and Kraucunas, Ian and Kreidenweis, Sonia M. and Molina, Mario J. and Nenes, Athanasios and Penner, Joyce E. and Prather, Kimberly A. and Ramanathan, V. and Ramaswamy, Venkatachalam and Rasch, Philip J. and Ravishankara, A. R. and Rosenfeld, Daniel and Stephens, Graeme and Wood, Robert (2016) Improving our fundamental understanding of the role of aerosol−cloud interactions in the climate system. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 113 (21). pp. 5781-5790. ISSN 0027-8424. PMCID PMC4889348. https://resolver.caltech.edu/CaltechAUTHORS:20160525-075839327

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Abstract

The effect of an increase in atmospheric aerosol concentrations on the distribution and radiative properties of Earth’s clouds is the most uncertain component of the overall global radiative forcing from preindustrial time. General circulation models (GCMs) are the tool for predicting future climate, but the treatment of aerosols, clouds, and aerosol−cloud radiative effects carries large uncertainties that directly affect GCM predictions, such as climate sensitivity. Predictions are hampered by the large range of scales of interaction between various components that need to be captured. Observation systems (remote sensing, in situ) are increasingly being used to constrain predictions, but significant challenges exist, to some extent because of the large range of scales and the fact that the various measuring systems tend to address different scales. Fine-scale models represent clouds, aerosols, and aerosol−cloud interactions with high fidelity but do not include interactions with the larger scale and are therefore limited from a climatic point of view. We suggest strategies for improving estimates of aerosol−cloud relationships in climate models, for new remote sensing and in situ measurements, and for quantifying and reducing model uncertainty.


Item Type:Article
Related URLs:
URLURL TypeDescription
http://dx.doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1514043113 DOIArticle
http://www.pnas.org/content/113/21/5781PublisherArticle
http://www.pnas.org/lookup/suppl/doi:10.1073/pnas.1514043113/-/DCSupplementalPublisherSupporting Information
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4889348/PubMed CentralArticle
ORCID:
AuthorORCID
Seinfeld, John H.0000-0003-1344-4068
Molina, Mario J.0000-0003-2339-3225
Nenes, Athanasios0000-0003-3873-9970
Additional Information:© 2016 National Academy of Sciences. The authors acknowledge Dr. Kristina Pistone for taking meticulous notes during the Colloquium. The Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL) is operated for the US Department of Energy (DOE) by Battelle Memorial Institute under Contract DE-AC06-76RLO 1830. Work at PNNL was supported by the US DOE Decadal and Regional Climate Prediction using Earth System Models program and by the US DOE Earth System Modeling program. Author contributions: J.H.S., C.B., K.S.C., H.C., P.J.D., E.J.D., G.F., S.G., A.B.G., R.K., I.K., S.M.K., M.J.M., A.N., J.E.P., K.A.P., V. Ramanathan, V. Ramaswamy, P.J.R., A.R.R., D.R., G.S., and R.W. wrote the paper. The authors declare no conflict of interest. This paper results from the Arthur M. Sackler Colloquium of the National Academy of Sciences, “Improving Our Fundamental Understanding of the Role of Aerosol–Cloud Interactions in the Climate System,” held June 23−24, 2015, at the Arnold and Mabel Beckman Center of the National Academies of Sciences and Engineering in Irvine, CA. The complete program and video recordings of most presentations are available on the NAS website at www.nasonline.org/Aerosol_Cloud_Interactions. This article contains supporting information online at www.pnas.org/lookup/suppl/doi:10.1073/pnas.1514043113/-/DCSupplemental.
Funders:
Funding AgencyGrant Number
Department of Energy (DOE)DE-AC06-76RLO 1830
Subject Keywords:climate; aerosol−cloud effects; general circulation models; radiative forcing; satellite observations
Issue or Number:21
PubMed Central ID:PMC4889348
Record Number:CaltechAUTHORS:20160525-075839327
Persistent URL:https://resolver.caltech.edu/CaltechAUTHORS:20160525-075839327
Official Citation:John H. Seinfeld, Christopher Bretherton, Kenneth S. Carslaw, Hugh Coe, Paul J. DeMott, Edward J. Dunlea, Graham Feingold, Steven Ghan, Alex B. Guenther, Ralph Kahn, Ian Kraucunas, Sonia M. Kreidenweis, Mario J. Molina, Athanasios Nenes, Joyce E. Penner, Kimberly A. Prather, V. Ramanathan, Venkatachalam Ramaswamy, Philip J. Rasch, A. R. Ravishankara, Daniel Rosenfeld, Graeme Stephens, and Robert Wood Improving our fundamental understanding of the role of aerosol−cloud interactions in the climate system PNAS 2016 113 (21) 5781-5790; doi:10.1073/pnas.1514043113
Usage Policy:No commercial reproduction, distribution, display or performance rights in this work are provided.
ID Code:67330
Collection:CaltechAUTHORS
Deposited By: Tony Diaz
Deposited On:26 May 2016 16:16
Last Modified:03 Oct 2019 10:05

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