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Policy Moderation Qr Conflicting Expectations? Testing The Intentional Models of Split-Ticket Voting

Alvarez, R. Michael and Schousen, Matthew M. (1993) Policy Moderation Qr Conflicting Expectations? Testing The Intentional Models of Split-Ticket Voting. Social Science Working Paper, 845. California Institute of Technology , Pasadena, CA. (Unpublished) https://resolver.caltech.edu/CaltechAUTHORS:20170825-132819904

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Abstract

In this paper we examine two models of the electoral origins of divided government. One model is the policy-moderation model, advocated originally by Fiorina (1988, 1992). The other model focuses on the different expectations held by the electorate of the branches of government, as well as the different electoral contexts (congressional and presidential) in which voter decision making occurs (Jacobson 1990A, 1990B). Utilizing individual-level survey data, we test various hypotheses derived from each model. Our empirical results give little support to the policy-moderation model. However, the second model has strong empirical support. We conclude with a discussion of our results for empirical and normative studies of divided control of government.


Item Type:Report or Paper (Working Paper)
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Additional Information:An earlier version of this paper was presented at the 1991 Midwest Political Science Association Annual Meeting, April 18-20, Chicago, Illinois. We thank John Aldrich, G. R. Boynton, David Canon, Morris Fiorina, Michael Krassa, Dean Lacy, Peter Lange, Brian Loynd, Philip Paolino, Patrick Sellers and Rick Wilson for their helpful discussions and comments. Published as Alavarez, R. Michael, and Matthew M. Schousen. "Policy Moderation or Conflicting Expectations? Testing the Intentional Models of Split-Ticket Voting." American Politics Quarterly 21, no. 4 (1993): 410-438.
Group:Social Science Working Papers
Series Name:Social Science Working Paper
Issue or Number:845
Record Number:CaltechAUTHORS:20170825-132819904
Persistent URL:https://resolver.caltech.edu/CaltechAUTHORS:20170825-132819904
Usage Policy:No commercial reproduction, distribution, display or performance rights in this work are provided.
ID Code:80793
Collection:CaltechAUTHORS
Deposited By: Jacquelyn Bussone
Deposited On:28 Aug 2017 23:30
Last Modified:03 Oct 2019 18:35

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