Ordeshook, Peter C. and Palfrey, Thomas R. (1986) Agendas, Strategic Voting, and Signaling with Incomplete Information. Social Science Working Paper, 618. California Institute of Technology , Pasadena, CA. (Unpublished) https://resolver.caltech.edu/CaltechAUTHORS:20170912-143216300
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Abstract
The literature on agendas with sincere and strategic voting represents an important contribution to our understanding of committees, of institutions, and of the opportunities to manipulate outcomes by the manipulation of institutions. That literature, though, imposes an assumption that may be unrealistic in many situations; namely, that everyone knows the preferences of everyone else. In this essay we apply Bayesian equilibrium analysis to show that the properties of agendas that others derive assuming complete information do not hold necessarily under incomplete information. First, a Condorcet winner need not be selected, even if nearly everyone on the committee most prefers it. Second, the "2 step theorem," that any outcome reachable in n voting stages via some amendment agenda is reachable in two stages under sophisticated voting, need not hold. Third, nonbinding votes such as straw polls, can critically effect final outcomes.
Item Type: | Report or Paper (Discussion Paper) | ||||||
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Additional Information: | This research was supported by National Science Foundation grants to Carnegie-Mellon University and to the University of Texas at Austin. We also wish to acknowledge, in the case of one author, the support of Stanford's Center for Advanced Study in the Behavioral Sciences. Published as Ordeshook, Peter C., and Thomas R. Palfrey. "Agendas, strategic voting, and signaling with incomplete information." American Journal of Political Science (1988): 441-466. | ||||||
Group: | Social Science Working Papers | ||||||
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Subject Keywords: | Voting, Voting paradox, Ballots, Polls, Straw, Game theory, Majority voting, Committees, Expected utility, Lotteries | ||||||
Series Name: | Social Science Working Paper | ||||||
Issue or Number: | 618 | ||||||
Record Number: | CaltechAUTHORS:20170912-143216300 | ||||||
Persistent URL: | https://resolver.caltech.edu/CaltechAUTHORS:20170912-143216300 | ||||||
Usage Policy: | No commercial reproduction, distribution, display or performance rights in this work are provided. | ||||||
ID Code: | 81378 | ||||||
Collection: | CaltechAUTHORS | ||||||
Deposited By: | Jacquelyn Bussone | ||||||
Deposited On: | 15 Sep 2017 20:30 | ||||||
Last Modified: | 22 Nov 2019 09:58 |
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