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On the Retrospective Effect of Economic Conditions in Congressional Elections: A Simultaneous Equation Model Approach

Al-Adhadh, Naim H. (1977) On the Retrospective Effect of Economic Conditions in Congressional Elections: A Simultaneous Equation Model Approach. Social Science Working Paper, 179. California Institute of Technology , Pasadena, CA. (Unpublished) https://resolver.caltech.edu/CaltechAUTHORS:20171024-140750239

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Abstract

In this paper, a simultaneous equation model is employed to investigate the relative effects of: (1) economic conditions, (2) incumbency, and (3) recognition of the presidential party’s candidate on the dual decisions of the individuals to participate and vote in congressional elections. My finding is decidedly negative regarding the effect of economic conditions on both turnout and voting for the presidential party. I have, however, established the relative effects of both incumbency and recognition.


Item Type:Report or Paper (Working Paper)
Group:Social Science Working Papers
Series Name:Social Science Working Paper
Issue or Number:179
Record Number:CaltechAUTHORS:20171024-140750239
Persistent URL:https://resolver.caltech.edu/CaltechAUTHORS:20171024-140750239
Usage Policy:No commercial reproduction, distribution, display or performance rights in this work are provided.
ID Code:82624
Collection:CaltechAUTHORS
Deposited By: Jacquelyn Bussone
Deposited On:24 Oct 2017 21:30
Last Modified:03 Oct 2019 18:56

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