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Digging into the Pocketbook: Evidence on Economic Voting from Income Registry Data Matched to a Voter Survey

Healy, Andrew J. and Persson, Mikael and Snowberg, Erik (2017) Digging into the Pocketbook: Evidence on Economic Voting from Income Registry Data Matched to a Voter Survey. American Political Science Review, 111 (04). pp. 771-785. ISSN 0003-0554. https://resolver.caltech.edu/CaltechAUTHORS:20171116-100331063

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Abstract

To paint a fuller picture of economic voters, we combine personal income records with a representative election survey. We examine three central topics in the economic voting literature: pocketbook versus sociotropic voting, the effects of partisanship on economic evaluations, and voter myopia. First, we show that voters who appear in survey data to be voting based on the national economy are, in fact, voting equally on the basis of their personal financial conditions. Second, there is strong evidence of both partisan bias and economic information in economic evaluations, but personal economic data is required to separate the two. Third, although in experiments and aggregate historical data recent economic conditions appear to drive vote choice, we find no evidence of myopia when we examine actual personal economic data.


Item Type:Article
Related URLs:
URLURL TypeDescription
https://doi.org/10.1017/S0003055417000314DOIArticle
https://www.cambridge.org/core/journals/american-political-science-review/article/digging-into-the-pocketbook-evidence-on-economic-voting-from-income-registry-data-matched-to-a-voter-survey/7FF7E7FFFDCA634B79D2289C6880CF3DPublisherArticle
Additional Information:© 2017 American Political Science Association. Received: October 26, 2016; revised: April 1, 2017; accepted: July 7, 2017. First published online: September 5, 2017. We gratefully acknowledge the assistance of Statistics Sweden. Snowberg acknowledges the support of NSF grants SES-1156154 and SMA-1329195. Persson acknowledges support from the Wenner-Gren Foundations, the Swedish Research Council for Health, Working Life and Welfare, and the Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences. We thank Steve Ansolabehere, Love Christensen, Bob Erikson, Mikael Gilljam, Rod Kiewiet, Kalle Lindgren, Peter Loewen, Sven Oskarsson, and Chris Wlezien for helpful comments, as well as conference participants at APSA 2014 in Washington, DC, and seminar participants at the Department of Economics, Loyola Marymount University and at the Department of Political Science, University of Gothenburg. The register data used in this article is confidential and cannot be disclosed by the authors. However, interested scholars can apply for access to our dataset through Statistics Sweden. Instructions for doing so, and code to reproduce our results, may be found on Dataverse at http://doi.org/10.7910/DVN/OJQJRM.
Funders:
Funding AgencyGrant Number
NSFSES-1156154
NSFSMA-1329195
Wenner-Gren FoundationsUNSPECIFIED
Swedish Research Council for Health, Working Life and WelfareUNSPECIFIED
Royal Swedish Academy of SciencesUNSPECIFIED
Issue or Number:04
Record Number:CaltechAUTHORS:20171116-100331063
Persistent URL:https://resolver.caltech.edu/CaltechAUTHORS:20171116-100331063
Official Citation:HEALY, A., PERSSON, M., & SNOWBERG, E. (2017). Digging into the Pocketbook: Evidence on Economic Voting from Income Registry Data Matched to a Voter Survey. American Political Science Review, 111(4), 771-785. doi:10.1017/S0003055417000314
Usage Policy:No commercial reproduction, distribution, display or performance rights in this work are provided.
ID Code:83252
Collection:CaltechAUTHORS
Deposited By: Tony Diaz
Deposited On:16 Nov 2017 18:16
Last Modified:03 Oct 2019 19:04

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