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Strategic voting in Britain

Cain, Bruce E. (1978) Strategic voting in Britain. American Journal of Political Science, 22 (3). pp. 639-655. ISSN 0092-5853. doi:10.2307/2110465.

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Formal political theory has raised serious doubts about the existence of strategic voting, and this in turn has challenged the prevailing wisdom in comparative politics about phenomena like "squeezing" and the effect of the "wasted vote." This paper attempts to set out the conditions for strategic voting and to test for it using data from the 1970 British General election. The results from both an aggregate and a survey analysis indicate that individuals are more likely to vote for their second preference when they perceive that their first choice has little chance of winning. This effect is particularly strong when the next best party is at a margin of under five percent.

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Additional Information:© 1978 by the University of Texas Press. The author wishes to thank John Jackson, Mo Fiorina, Doug Price, John Aldrich, and John Ferejohn for their comments and criticisms. Formerly SSWP 148.
Subject Keywords:Voting, Expected utility, Voting behavior, Constituents, Liberalism, Coefficients, Minimax, Regret, Electorate
Issue or Number:3
Record Number:CaltechAUTHORS:20171204-153436253
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Usage Policy:No commercial reproduction, distribution, display or performance rights in this work are provided.
ID Code:83673
Deposited By: Jacquelyn Bussone
Deposited On:02 Jan 2018 23:57
Last Modified:15 Nov 2021 20:13

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