Published September 2011 | Version Published
Journal Article Open

Verifying a Computational Method for Predicting Extreme Ground Motion

Abstract

Large earthquakes strike infrequently and close-in recordings are uncommon. This situation makes it difficult to predict the ground motion very close to earthquake-generating faults, if the prediction is to be based on readily available observations. A solution might be to cover the Earth with seismic instruments so that one could rely on the data from previous events to predict future shaking. However, even in the case of complete seismic data coverage for hundreds of years, there would still be one type of earthquake that would be difficult to predict: those very rare earthquakes that produce very large ground motion.

Additional Information

© 2011 Seismological Society of America. Funding for the Rupture Dynamics Code Verification Exercise has come from the Southern California Earthquake Center (funded by NSF Cooperative Agreement EAR-0106924 and USGS Cooperative Agreements 02HQAG0008), internal USGS Earthquake Hazards Program funds, the U.S. Department of Energy Extreme Ground Motions project, and Pacific Gas and Electric Company. Thanks to Tom Jordan for his support of this project and to Phil Maechling for helping us with the logistics of the code-validation Web site. This manuscript benefited from helpful reviews by SRL reviewer Peter Moczo and USGS internal reviewers David Boore and Woody Savage. This is SCEC contribution number 1473.

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Additional details

Identifiers

Eprint ID
25635
Resolver ID
CaltechAUTHORS:20111004-120309692

Funding

National Science Foundation
EAR-0106924
United States Geological Survey
02HQAG0008
United States Geological Survey
Earthquake Hazards Program -
United States Department of Energy
Extreme Ground Motions -
PG&E Corporation (United States)

Dates

Created
2011-10-04
Created from EPrint's datestamp field
Updated
2021-11-09
Created from EPrint's last_modified field

Caltech Custom Metadata

Caltech groups
Seismological Laboratory
Other Numbering System Name
Southern California Earthquake Center (SCEC) Contribution
Other Numbering System Identifier
1473