Xu
et al
.,
Sci. Adv.
7
, eabl3648 (2021) 8 December 2021
SCIENCE ADVANCES
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RESEARCH ARTICLE
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ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCE
Ozone chemistry in
western U.S. wildfire plumes
Lu Xu
1
*†, John D.
Crounse
1
, Krystal T.
Vasquez
2
, Hannah
Allen
2
, Paul O.
Wennberg
1,3
*,
Ilann Bourgeois
4,5
, Steven S.
Brown
4,6
, Pedro
Campuzano-Jost
5,6
, Matthew M.
Coggon
4,5
,
James H.
Crawford
7
, Joshua P.
DiGangi
7
, Glenn S.
Diskin
7
, Alan
Fried
8
, Emily M.
Gargulinski
9
,
Jessica B.
Gilman
4
, Georgios I.
Gkatzelis
4,5
‡, Hongyu
Guo
5,6
, Johnathan W.
Hair
7
, Samuel R.
Hall
10
,
Hannah A.
Halliday
7
§, Thomas F.
Hanisco
11
, Reem A.
Hannun
11,12
, Christopher D.
Holmes
13
,
L. Gregory Huey
14
, Jose L.
Jimenez
5,6
, Aaron
Lamplugh
4,5
, Young Ro
Lee
14
, Jin
Liao
11,15
,
Jakob Lindaas
16
||, J. Andrew Neuman
4,5
, John B.
Nowak
7
, Jeff
Peischl
4,5
, David A.
Peterson
17
,
Felix Piel
18,19,20
, Dirk
Richter
8
, Pamela S.
Rickly
4,5
, Michael A.
Robinson
4,5,6
, Andrew W.
Rollins
4
,
Thomas B.
Ryerson
4
¶, Kanako
Sekimoto
21
, Vanessa
Selimovic
22
, Taylor
Shingler
7
,
Amber J.
Soja
7,9
, Jason M.
St.
Clair
11,12
, David J.
Tanner
14
, Kirk
Ullmann
10
, Patrick R.
Veres
4
,
James Walega
8
, Carsten
Warneke
4
, Rebecca A.
Washenfelder
4
, Petter
Weibring
8
,
Armin Wisthaler
18,20
, Glenn M.
Wolfe
11,12
, Caroline C.
Womack
4,5
, Robert J.
Yokelson
22
Wildfires are a substantial but poorly quantified source of tropospheric ozone (O
3
). Here, to investigate the highly
variable O
3
chemistry in wildfire plumes, we exploit the in situ chemical characterization of western wildfires
during the FIREX-AQ flight campaign and show that O
3
production can be predicted as a function of experimen-
tally constrained OH exposure, volatile organic compound (VOC) reactivity, and the fate of peroxy radicals. The O
3
chemistry exhibits rapid transition in chemical regimes. Within a few daylight hours, the O
3
formation substantially
slows and is largely limited by the abundance of nitrogen oxides (NO
x
). This finding supports previous observations
that O
3
formation is enhanced when VOC-rich wildfire smoke mixes into NO
x
-rich urban plumes, thereby deteriorating
urban air quality. Last, we relate O
3
chemistry to the underlying fire characteristics, enabling a more accurate repre
-
sentation of wildfire chemistry in atmospheric models that are used to study air quality and predict climate.
INTRODUCTION
Wildfires emit large quantities of reactive trace species to the atmo-
sphere, including primary pollutants, as well as precursors for the
production of O
3
and particulate matter (
1
,
2
). The number and size
of wildfires are predicted to increase as a result of historical fire sup-
pression practices and ongoing climate change (
3
). This threatens to
offset some of the improvements in air quality in the United States
over the past few decades, particularly during fire season (
4
).
O
3
formation depends on the mix of initial emissions and the
postemission atmospheric processing, both of which are highly
variable (Fig. 1). As a result, O
3
formation observed in previous field
studies exhibits substantial fire-to-fire variability (
5
). Numerous
studies have investigated O
3
chemistry in wildfire plumes using
atmospheric models of different dynamical and chemical complexity
(
6
–
11
), but accurate simulation of wildfire chemistry has proved
challenging. Several hypotheses have been proposed to explain the
model deficiencies, such as uncertain emission inventories, inaccu-
rate description of oxidation chemistry, and difficulties in modeling
plume dispersion. O
3
production from wildfire emissions remains
as a major uncertainty in assessing the tropospheric O
3
burden (
12
).
The in situ observations of a suite of trace species made during
the Fire Influence on Regional to Global Environments and Air
Quality (FIREX-AQ) campaign (Supplementary Materials, section S1)
enable a detailed diagnosis of key variables controlling O
3
forma-
tion, including oxidant sources, volatile organic compound (VOC)
emissions, and the chemistry of NO
x
and peroxy radicals (RO
2
; the sum
of hydroperoxy radical and organic peroxy radical) (Fig. 1). These
variables depend on fire conditions, undergo rapid transitions in
1
Division of Geological and Planetary Sciences, California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA, USA.
2
Division of Chemistry and Chemical Engineering, California Insti-
tute of Technology, Pasadena, CA, USA.
3
Division of Engineering and Applied Science, California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA, USA.
4
NOAA Chemical Sciences
Laboratory, Boulder, CO, USA.
5
Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences, University of Colorado Boulder, Boulder, CO, USA.
6
Department of Chemistry,
University of Colorado Boulder, Boulder, CO, USA.
7
NASA Langley Research Center, Hampton, VA, USA.
8
Institute of Arctic and Alpine Research, University of Colorado
Boulder, Boulder, CO, USA.
9
National Institute of Aerospace, Hampton, VA, USA.
10
Atmospheric Chemistry Observations & Modeling Laboratory, National Center for Atmo-
spheric Research, Boulder, CO, USA.
11
Atmospheric Chemistry and Dynamics Laboratory, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, MD, USA.
12
Joint Center for Earth
Systems Technology, University of Maryland, Baltimore County, Baltimore, MD, USA.
13
Department of Earth, Ocean, and Atmospheric Science, Florida State University,
Tallahassee, FL, USA.
14
School of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA, USA.
15
Universities Space Research Association, Columbia,
MD, USA.
16
Department of Atmospheric Science, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO, USA.
17
U.S.
Naval Research Laboratory, Monterey, CA, USA.
18
Department of
Chemistry, University of Oslo, Oslo, Norway.
19
IONICON Analytik GmbH, Innsbruck, Austria.
20
Institut für Ionenphysik und Angewandte Physik, Universität Innsbruck,
Innsbruck, Austria.
21
Graduate School of Nanobioscience, Yokohama City University, 22-2 Seto, Kanazawa-ku, Yokohama, Kanagawa, Japan.
22
Department of Chemistry
and Biochemistry, University of Montana, Missoula, MT, USA.
*Corresponding author. Email: lu.xu@noaa.gov (L.X.); wennberg@caltech.edu (P.O.W.)
†Present address: NOAA Chemical Sciences Laboratory, Boulder, CO, USA, and Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences, University of Colorado,
Boulder, CO, USA.
‡Present address: Institute for Energy and Climate Research, IEK-8: Troposphere, Forschungszentrum Jülich GmbH, Jülich, Germany.
§Present address: U.S.
Environmental Protection Agency, Research Triangle Park, NC, USA.
||AGI/AAAS Congressional Science Fellow.
¶Present address: Scientific Aviation, Boulder, CO, USA.
Copyright © 2021
The Authors, some
rights reserved;
exclusive licensee
American Association
for the Advancement
of Science. No claim to
original U.S. Government
Works. Distributed
under a Creative
Commons Attribution
NonCommercial
License 4.0 (CC BY-NC).
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chemical regimes, and hence profoundly influence the O
3
chemistry
during smoke transport. Building upon our systematic evaluation
of O
3
chemistry, we provide a parameterization to estimate the O
3
formation from temperate wildfires.
During FIREX-AQ, the NASA DC-8 aircraft sampled fires rep-
resentative of those in the major ecosystems in the western United
States in July and August 2019. Figure 2B shows one example flight
track that involves multiple crosswind transects of a fire plume at
different distances downwind. Previous analyses of aircraft-based
observations typically studied the plume evolution in a pseudo-
Lagrangian framework. Such analysis is often complicated by the fact
that fire conditions change over time and by aircraft navigation ar-
tifacts, such as missing the dense plume in some crosswind tran-
sects (Supplementary Materials, section S1). Here, to investigate the
O
3
chemistry in a way that mitigates some of the challenges associated
with fluctuations in fire emissions, we apply single transect analysis
(STA) that examines the differences in the plume composition across
each crosswind transect. Because of the high aerosol optical extinc-
tion in the center of large smoke plumes, the center experiences
substantially lower actinic flux and photolysis rates than the edges
at a given altitude. This provides a different extent of photochemical
processing and, in particular, a range of time-integrated exposure of
emissions to hydroxyl radicals (i.e., OH exposure) between the plume
center and edges (Fig. 2A as an example). Since a single transect
samples smoke emitted at similar times, the assumption of stationary
fire conditions is often better satisfied in STA than traditional pseudo-
Lagrangian analysis. Spatial variability in fire emissions and complex
plume structure can still complicate the STA, so transects suitable
for the STA are scrutinized by a set of stringent criteria (Supple-
mentary Materials, section S4).
The STA is combined with a conceptual model (fig. S13 and
Supplementary Materials, section S5) to investigate the daytime
-
118.6
-
118.4
-
118.2
-
118
-
117.8
-
117.6
Longitude
47.6
47.7
47.8
47.9
48
48.1
48.2
48.3
Latitude
Williams
Flats
Fire
B
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
OH exposure (
10
10
molecules cm
-
3
s)
012
OH exposure
(
10
10
molecules cm
-
3
s)
47.85
47.9
47.95
48
48.05
48.1
0
0.02
0.04
O
x
/
CO (ppb/ppb)
47.85
47.9
47.95
48
48.05
48.1
Latitude
A
O
x
/
CO
OH exposure
Wind direction
Fig. 2. Single transect analysis (STA) examines the differences in plume composition across individual transects of the wildfire plumes.
In (
B
), the flight track on
3 August 2019 is colored by OH exposure, which is lower in plume center than edges, as a result of high aerosol optical extinction in plume center. In (
A
), the dilution-corrected
O
x
formation (i.e.,
O
x
/
CO) is illustrated in one near-field transect.
Fig. 1. Simplified scheme to illustrate the factors influencing O
3
formation in wildfire plumes.
Wildfires emit oxidant precursors, NO
x
, and an enormous diversity of
VOCs. In the near field, OH produced via photolysis of HONO initiates VOC oxidation, which proceeds in the presence of NO
x
and leads to efficient O
3
formation. After a
few hours, the HONO has been consumed and NO
x
has been both diluted sufficiently and converted to PANs and
NO
3
−
such that the O
3
formation slows by several orders
of magnitude. In this simplified scheme, the width of arrows having the same color represents the relative importance of competing pathways.
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chemical closure of odd oxygen [O
x
= O
3
+ NO
2
+ HNO
3
+ particulate
nitrate + peroxyacylnitrates (PANs)]. O
x
accounts for the inter-
conversion between O
3
and other O
x
species (
13
). The instanta-
neous production rate of O
x
can be expressed by the product of
three terms: VOC reactivity (VOCR), OH concentration, and the
fraction of peroxy radicals that react with NO (
f
RO2 + NO
) (i.e., Eq. 1).
VOCR is a condensed parameter summarizing several properties of
individual VOCs (Eq.2), including the VOC concentration ([VOC
i
]),
the reaction rate coefficient of the VOC with OH (
k
OH + VOC
i
), the
number of peroxy radicals produced from the oxidization of each
VOC
i
molecule to its first-generation closed-shell products (
i
), and
the alkylnitrate branching fraction of the VOC
i
-derived RO
2
+ NO
reaction (
i
). More details about VOCR are described in the Supple-
mentary Materials, section S7.
Integrating Eq. 1 from the fresh (i.e., lowest OH exposure) to the
aged portion (i.e., highest OH exposure) across each plume transect
(i.e., Eq. 3) reflects the predicted O
x
formation based on the obser-
vationally constrained VOCR, OH exposure, and RO
2
chemistry.
To account for dilution and background contributions, excess mix-
ing ratios (i.e., the difference between smoke and background air,
denoted as
in Eq. 3) were normalized to
[CO], which is a stable
plume tracer. The predicted O
x
production can be compared to the
direct measurement of the same transect (i.e., left hand side of Eq. 3),
providing a diagnostic of chemical closure, enabling constraints on
the sources and sinks of O
x
. This analysis is denoted as O
x
chemical
closure analysis.
d
[
O
x
]
─
dt
=
VOCR
· [OH
] ·
f
R
O
2
+NO
(1)
VOCR =
∑
i
=1
i
=
n
k
OH+VO
C
i
· [VO
C
i
] ·
i
· (1
−
i
)
(2)
(
[
O
x
]
─
[ CO]
)
aged
−
(
[
O
x
]
─
[ CO]
)
fresh
=
∫
fresh
aged
VOC R
[OH]
t
─
[CO]
[OH]
t
·
f
R
O
2
+NO
·
d
([OH ]
t
)
(3)
RESULTS
Variables influencing O
x
formation
OH exposure
The OH exposure is estimated from the observed ratio of phenol to
benzene (eq. S6 and Supplementary Materials, section S3), both of
which are emitted in high yields in wildfires. Phenol reacts with OH
∼
20 times faster than benzene, so their ratio serves as a measurement
of photochemical processing in the absence of other substantial sinks
or sources. The OH exposure is highly correlated with the nitrous
acid (HONO) loss. Figure 3A shows the measurements on the
3 August 2019 flight as an example. Before 90% of HONO is lost,
the OH exposure correlates with the lost HONO whose photolysis
accounts for >50% of the total HO
x
production rate (Supplementary
Materials, section S3). HONO photolysis is thus a critical OH source
in wildfire plumes, consistent with a recent study by Peng
et al
. (
14
).
After HONO is depleted, the OH exposure continues to increase
because of the photolysis of O
3
and aldehydes, albeit at a much
slower rate, indicating lower [OH] (figs. S5 and S6).
VOC reactivity
The approximately 80 quantified VOCs are classified into seven
structural categories. Figure 3B shows the relative contribution to
total VOCR of each category averaged from transects included in
the O
x
chemical closure analysis. On average, oxygenated VOCs
(OVOCs) are the largest contributor, together accounting for about
one-third of VOCR.
The OVOCs are predominantly small aldehydes,
including formaldehyde and acetaldehyde (fig. S21). Alkanes and
alkenes are the second largest contributors to VOCR.
The historically
overlooked furans also play an important role in wildfire plumes,
contributing about one-fifth of VOCR, consistent with recent find-
ings from lab studies (
10
,
15
). While oxygenated aromatics, primarily
guaiacol, catechol, and creosols, account for only one-tenth of total
VOCR, their oxidation contributes a much larger fraction of the
secondary organic aerosol (SOA) formed [
∼
60% as found in (
16
,
17
)].
The relative importance of each VOC category to total VOCR
changes with OH exposure. An example transect is shown in fig. S22.
Many of the primary emissions, including alkenes, furans, and
oxygenated aromatics, are rapidly oxidized, and their importance
0
0.2
0.4
0.60
.8
1
f
HONO,lost
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
OH exposure
(
10
10
molecules cm
-
3
s)
A
0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
f
j
HONO
Linear fit (
r
2
= 0.41)
B
OVOCs
36%
Alkanes/alkenes
23%
Furans
20%
Oxygenated
aromatics
10%
CO
7%
Reduced aromatics 2%
Fig. 3. Production and fate of OH.
(
A
) shows that the OH exposure correlates with the amount of HONO loss [
f
HONO,lost
= 1 − (
HONO/
CO)/(
HONO/
CO)
max
] for the
3 August 2019 Williams Flats Fire. The correlation indicates that OH is produced mainly by HONO photolysis in the near field. The color represents the relative contribution
of HONO photolysis to total HO
x
production rate (denoted as
f
j
HONO
). (
B
) shows that OVOCs, alkanes/alkenes, and furans are the major contributors to total VOCR based
on the average of transects included in the O
x
chemical closure analysis.
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decreases with increasing OH exposure. In contrast, small aldehydes
have substantial secondary sources, and, as a result, their contribu-
tion to the total VOCR increases over time. The VOCR of longer
lived compounds, such as CO, remains relatively constant.
RO
2
chemistry
O
3
is produced via the reaction of RO
2
with NO.
There are, howev-
er, a number of processes that can compete with this reaction. Thus,
to understand O
x
formation in wildfire plumes, knowing the RO
2
fate is critical. With direct measurements of organic hydroperoxides
(ROOH) and hydroxynitrates (RONO
2
) from the OH-initiated
oxidation of small alkenes (i.e., ethene and propene), we are able to
provide the first experimental constraint on RO
2
fate in wildfire
plumes. We probe the competition between RO
2
+ NO and RO
2
+
HO
2
reactions and thereby estimate the fraction of RO
2
that reacts
with NO (
f
RO2 + NO
). Figure 4 shows the evolution of propene-
derived ROOH and RONO
2
in two transects with different NO levels.
In the transect shown in Fig. 4A, where [NO] is above 500 parts per
trillion by volume (pptv), only RONO
2
is produced, as the RO
2
+
NO reaction outruns the RO
2
+ HO
2
reaction. In the transect shown
in Fig. 4B, [NO] is below 500 pptv and reaches as low as 50 pptv. As
a result of the low [NO], both ROOH and RONO
2
are produced,
suggesting that RO
2
+ HO
2
and RO
2
+ NO reactions are competi-
tive. H
2
O
2
, which is a product of HO
2
+ HO
2
reaction, shows a similar
trend as ROOH in these two transects (fig. S24).
Measurement imprecision precludes the estimate of a pointwise
f
RO2 + NO
across each transect, so we apply Eq. 4 to calculate transect-
averaged
f
RO2 + NO
using the transect-integrated production of
RONO
2
(i.e.,
P
RONO2
; eq. S29) and ROOH (i.e.,
P
ROOH
; eq. S30).
f
RO2 + NO
is calculated from both ethene and propene systems, and
they are consistent within 10% (fig. S25). Figure 5A shows the evo-
lution of
f
RO2 + NO
for the Williams Flats Fire sampled on two different
days. On both days, the
f
RO2 + NO
decreases with downwind distance,
illustrating the transition of RO
2
fate from an RO
2
+ NO–dominated
regime to a mixed regime with increasing importance of RO
2
+ HO
2
.
The change rate of
f
RO2 + NO
varies between fires. On 7 August 2019,
the
f
RO2 + NO
decreases from 1 to 0.7 after the smoke travels from 25 to
100 km. On 3 August 2019, the
f
RO2 + NO
decreases more rapidly
with downwind distance, and it reaches
∼
60% at 45 km (estimated
transport time
∼
3 hours). Such difference is likely caused by fire
strength and fuel consumption. The fire on 7 August 2019 is the most
intense fire sampled during FIREX-AQ, with the fire radiative power
(FRP) up to 4.4 × 10
4
MW and 72.3 km
2
daily area burned. The fire
on 3 August 2019 has lower intensity (i.e., peak FRP
∼
1.5 × 10
4
MW) and
smaller daily burned area (43.2 km
2
). It takes more time for the NO
x
concentration in intense fires to decline to a level where RO
2
+ HO
2
reactions can become competitive. Note that over 90% of fires around
the world have FRP <100 MW (
18
), so that the transition of
f
RO2 + NO
can occur rapidly. More importantly, a large fraction of wildfire
VOCs is oxidized in the mixed regime. As shown in Fig. 5B, for both
fires,
∼
70% of the VOCR remains when
f
RO2 + NO
decreases to 0.6
f
R
O
2
+ NO
=
k
R
O
2
+ NO
· [NO]
────────────────────
k
R
O
2
+ NO
· [NO
] +
k
R
O
2
+
H
O
2
· [H O
2
]
=
P
RON
O
2
_
RON
O
2
─
P
RON
O
2
_
RON
O
2
+
P
ROOH
_
ROOH
(4)
This regime transition is a result of [NO
x
] decrease, which is
caused primarily by dilution with ambient air and by chemical loss
of NO
x
. The major NO
x
oxidation products are PAN and nitrate
(
N
O
3
−
= HNO
3
+ particulate nitrate). Together, they account for
nearly all of NO
x
oxidation products, NO
z
(= NO
y
− NO
x
− HONO)
(fig. S27). The fractions of PAN and nitrate in total reactive oxidized
nitrogen (NO
y
) increase with OH exposure as a result of NO
x
con-
version (Fig. 6A), consistent with previous studies (
6
,
19
,
20
).
Because nitrate is a permanent NO
x
sink but PAN is a temporary
NO
x
reservoir, the NO
x
loss pathways affect O
3
formation in the
long-range transport of wildfire plumes. To investigate the compe-
tition between NO
x
loss pathways, we use STA.
PAN/
CO and
NO
z
/
CO correlation slopes (fig. S28) give the relative fraction of
Fig. 4. The measurements of ROOH and RONO
2
from propene oxidation are used to diagnose the RO
2
fate.
The ROOH is not produced in the transect with high [NO]
(
A
) but produced in the transect with low [NO] (
B
). The signals of both RONO
2
and ROOH are divided by the branching ratio of the corresponding RO
2
reaction (i.e.,
). The
ROOH signal is multiplied by a factor of 4 to be shown in the same scale as RONO
2
. The shaded area represents the 25th to 75th percentile. ppb, parts per billion.
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NO
x
loss to PAN (denoted as
f
PAN
) as the smoke chemically evolved
from the photochemical condition in plume center to that in plume
edge across individual transects.
f
PAN
is different from
PAN/
NO
z
,
as the latter is an accumulative property that depends on initial
emissions and the integral of NO
x
loss over time. Figure 6B shows
f
PAN
for each transect of several fires as a function of smoke age.
Despite fire-to-fire variability,
f
PAN
is 0.2 to 0.4 at a smoke age of
0.5 hour and rapidly increases to 0.8 to 1 at 2 hours. This trend sug-
gests that the major NO
x
oxidation product transitions from
N
O
3
−
to PAN after
∼
2 hours of transport.
This transition is mainly driven by the change in [CH
3
CHO]/[NO
2
],
which increases with smoke age (fig. S30) and reflects the fact that
NO
2
is chemically lost to other NO
y
species, but CH
3
CHO has sub-
stantial production from VOC oxidation. Larger [CH
3
CHO]/[NO
2
]
favors the PAN formation by producing more acetyl peroxy radical
(Supplementary Materials, section S8). Therefore, fire conditions
that affect the [CH
3
CHO]/[NO
2
], or broadly the [VOCs]/[NO
x
], alter
the partitioning between NO
y
species and, as a result, downwind O
3
formation. Figure S33 shows that the plateau value of
PAN/
NO
y
from different fires negatively correlates with the modified combustion
05
0
100
Downwind distance (km)
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.9
1
f
RO
2
+ NO
A
3 August 2019
7 August 2019
01234
Fire radiative power (
10
4
MW)
0.6
0.70
.8
0.
91
VOCR/
CO
/
max
VOCR/
CO
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.9
1
f
RO
2
+ NO
B
3 August 2019
7 August 2019
02468
NO
x
/
CO (ppt/ppb)
Fig. 5. The RO
2
fate transitions from an RO
2
+ NO–dominated regime to a mixed regime with increasing importance of RO
2
+ HO
2
.
(
A
) The
f
RO2 + NO
decreases as
smoke transports in the William Flats Fire sampled on 2 different days. The data points are colored by the fire radiative power (FRP) measured at the estimated time of
smoke emission. (
B
) A large fraction of VOCs is oxidized in the mixed regime. The max
VOCR/
CO is represented by the average
VOCR/
CO of observations with the
top 1% [CO] during the fire sample. The downwind distance is estimated on the basis of the aircraft position and the burned area. The dashed lines are provided as a
visual aid. The ellipses represent the uncertainty range.
Fig. 6. The evolution of the partitioning of NO
y
species.
(
A
) shows measurements of the 3 August 2019 Williams Flats Fire. As smoke ages, the NO
x
and HONO emitted
from fires are converted to PAN and NO
3
−
. (
B
) shows that the fraction of NO
x
loss to PAN (
f
PAN
) across each transect increases with smoke age, which results from evolving
CH
3
CHO/NO
2
as discussed in the text. Each data point represents one transect, and the transects from the same fire sampling patterns have the same color. The black line
is provided as a visual aid. The numbers in parentheses represent the index of a set of crosswind transects in a flight.
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efficiency (MCE). This observation is consistent with the finding from
STA that higher emission ratios of [CH
3
CHO]/[NO
2
] (associated
with lower MCE; fig. S38) favors NO
x
loss to PAN.
O
x
chemical closure analysis
We now return to the conceptual model (Eq.3) to test the chemical
closure of O
x
in wildfire plumes. The O
x
production (denoted as
P
O
x
) across each transect is predicted on the basis of the three key
chemical variables: OH exposure, VOCR, and RO
2
fate. Then, this
prediction is compared to the measured
P
O
x
calculated as a sum of
the measured individual O
x
species (Eq.3). On the basis of a set of
stringent criteria (Supplementary Materials, section S4), 25 transects,
for which the
P
O
x
and RO
2
fate can be quantified with high confi-
dence, are selected for this comparison. As shown in Fig. 7, the cor-
relation between the observed and predicted
P
O
x
is quite strong (
r
2
=
0.64). On average, the predicted
P
O
x
is higher than the measured
P
O
x
by 12%, well within the analysis and measurement uncertainties
(Supplementary Materials, section S9). Overall, the use of the con-
ceptual model and the comprehensive measurements of VOCs in
FIREX-AQ enables remarkably good prediction of O
x
production.
Such agreement suggests that the majority of VOCs contributing to
O
x
formation are quantified during FIREX-AQ, at least in the early
stage of the wildfire plumes. This provides confidence in the char-
acterization of fire emissions during FIREX-AQ, which will serve as
a foundation for future use in chemical transport models (CTMs).
Furthermore, as the conceptual model solely based on gas phase
chemistry is sufficient to account for the measured O
x
production
here, we suggest that the role of heterogeneous loss of O
3
and HO
2
is likely minor in wildfire plumes, a hypothesis often invoked when
models overpredict the measured O
3
(
5
,
21
).
Parameterization of the O
3
+ NO
2
production
The chemistry and dynamics described in this study occur on spa-
tial scales smaller than those used in even modestly high-resolution
CTMs. Thus, there is a need to parameterize the near-field chemistry
to properly capture the oxidation chemistry. Here, we focus on O
3
and NO
2
, as they are critical air pollutants. The production of O
3
and NO
2
across individual transects, which is represented by the
difference in
(O
3
+ NO
2
)/
CO between aged and fresh smoke, is
denoted as
P
O
3
+ NO
2
.
P
O
3
+ NO
2
ranges from 0 to 0.06 and exhibits a
positive relationship with the span of OH exposure (
OH exposure)
across individual transects (
r
2
= 0.47; Fig. 8A). This trend implies more
O
3
+ NO
2
production as plumes age in the near field, consistent with
previous observations (
5
). In addition to OH exposure, the
P
O
3
+ NO
2
positively correlates with MCE (
r
2
= 0.23; Fig. 8B). Higher MCE
indicates more flaming combustion, which usually leads to higher
NO
x
emissions and lower VOC emissions, together leading to a higher
NO
x
/VOCR (
5
,
22
,
23
). The
P
O
3
+ NO
2
does increase with NO
x
/VOCR,
as shown in fig. S34. Overall, the positive relationship between
P
O
3
+ NO
2
and MCE suggests that the formation of O
3
+ NO
2
in fresh
wildfires in the western United States is generally NO
x
limited.
As the O
3
+ NO
2
formation depends on several variables, we de-
velop a statistical model based on multivariate adaptive regression
splines (
24
) to attribute such dependence (Supplementary Materials,
section S10). We examine the relationship between
P
O
3
+ NO
2
of each
transect and a number of variables (MCE,
OH exposure, VOCR,
NO
x
/VOCR, and RO
2
fate) using stepwise forward selection. The
final model form is Eq. 5 [the units of
P
O
3
+ NO
2
and OH exposure
are parts per billion (ppb)/ppb and 10
10
molecules cm
−3
s, re-
spectively]. The model captures 56% of the measurement variance
(Fig. 8C)
P
O
3
+
N
O
2
=
a
+
b
× max(0,
MCE −
c
)
+
d
× (OH exposure)
a
=
0.0036 ± 0.0028;
b
=
0.46 ± 0.16
c
=
0.916 ± 0.002;
d
=
0.014 ± 0.0019
(5)
The terms
a
+
b
× max(0, MCE −
c
) in Eq. 5 are interpreted as
the MCE-dependent primary emission ratio (ER) of NO
2
to CO, i.e.,
ER(NO
2
), because O
3
+ NO
2
is essentially all NO
2
when there is no
chemical aging of fire emissions. To examine this interpretation, we
compare the field-derived ER(NO
2
) to that measured in the FIREX
FireLab 2016 study, where fuel complexes important for western
U.S. ecosystems were burned. Figure 8D compiles the ER(NO
2
)
from lab fuel types that are relevant to FIREX-AQ fires (table
S7). The empirical parameterization reasonably predicts the nearly
constant ER(NO
2
) when MCE is <0.92 and slightly overpredicts the
rising ER(NO
2
) as MCE increases above 0.92. One factor that com-
plicates this comparison is the fuel dependence of ER(NO
2
), which
shows larger variability as MCE increases. In comparison to indi
-
vidual fuel types (fig. S36), the empirical parameterization reason-
ably predicts the ER(NO
2
) of douglas fir, Engelmann spruce, and
subalpine fir, but slightly overpredicts for fuels like ponderosa pine
and manzanita. Among all 253 transects in FIREX-AQ, more than
90% of transects have MCE less than 0.92 (fig. S2), a range where the
field-derived parameterization performs accurately, and the ER(NO
2
)
is largely independent of fuel type (fig. S36). Therefore, this field-derived
parameterization is a reasonable approximation of the subgrid scale
O
3
+ NO
2
production for CTMs without an accurate emissions in-
ventory and fuel characteristics.
The other term in Eq. 5 (
d
× OH exposure) is interpreted as the
O
3
+ NO
2
formation during plume aging. This linear dependence of
O
3
+ NO
2
production on OH exposure is likely confined to the near
field of wildfire plumes (i.e., maximum OH exposure used to con-
strain the parameterization is 2.5×10
10
molecules cm
−3
s, which is
roughly 7 hours transport time) before the RO
2
chemistry transitions
00
.020
.04
0.06
0.08
0.1
0
0.02
0.04
0.06
0.08
0.1
1:1
1:1.5
1.5:1
1:2
2:1
Each transect
York fit
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
3.5
4
Transect median VOCR/NO
x
(
10
-
9
cm
3
molecule
-
1
s
-
1
)
Slope = 1.12
0.26
Intercept = 0.001
0.01
r
2
= 0.64
Fig. 7. The predicted and measured O
x
production show reasonable agreement.
The ellipses represent the uncertainty range (Supplementary Materials, section S9).
The slope and intercepts are obtained from a York fit.
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Xu
et al
.,
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, eabl3648 (2021) 8 December 2021
SCIENCE ADVANCES
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RESEARCH ARTICLE
7 of 10
to HO
2
-dominated reactivity. We compile the literature values of
O
3
/
CO from boreal and temperate wildfires over a wide range of
plume ages in fig. S35 and find that the aircraft-based observations
of
O
3
/
CO in the free troposphere typically reach a maximum
value of 0.1 at 3 to 5 days downwind, which is only about twice the
value after 7 hours of aging observed in this study. The
O
3
/
CO is
relatively constant afterward and even shows a decreasing trend in
some plumes that are
∼
10 days old. This observation suggests that
the major fraction of O
3
in wildfire plumes in the free troposphere
is produced in the near field, consistent with the analysis above that
the wildfire plumes quickly run out of NO
x
and then the reaction of
HO
2
with RO
2
efficiently competes with NO.
DISCUSSION
Uncertainties in emissions characterization and oxidation chemistry
are long-standing challenges in understanding O
x
production in
wildfire plumes. The agreement between the measured and predicted
O
x
production in this study indicates that the oxidation of VOCs
has been accurately captured by the comprehensive suite of analytical
instruments deployed here. This chemical closure provides confidence
in diagnosing the key chemical variables influencing O
x
formation.
These variables undergo rapid transition in chemical regimes. HONO
photolysis is the major source of OH in the near field. Once the
primary HONO is consumed, the rate of photochemistry in the plume
decreases quickly. O
x
formation also slows because of the changing
fate of RO
2
radicals. Given the high VOC/NO
x
produced in the fire,
the RO
2
fate transitions within a few hours from an RO
2
+ NO–
dominated regime to a mixed regime with increasing importance of
the RO
2
+ HO
2
reaction. A large fraction of VOCs is oxidized in the
mixed regime. The changing RO
2
fate affects not only O
x
formation
but also SOA formation. To estimate SOA formation in wildfire plumes,
previous studies have used high NO
x
SOA yields from chamber ex-
periments (
16
,
17
). The SOA yields of aromatics, which are critical
SOA precursors in wildfire plumes, are generally higher under low
NO
x
condition than high NO
x
condition (
25
,
26
). Therefore, the
estimated SOA formation in some previous studies may be biased
low if the rapid transition to low NO
x
chemistry is not represented
accurately.
The O
3
chemistry in temperate wildfire emissions is generally in
the NO
x
-limited regime. Thus, fire conditions that influence the NO
x
emissions and sinks critically determine the O
3
formation. Wildfires
with higher MCE have higher emission ratios of HONO and NO
x
,
which tend to increase O
3
formation. On the other hand, higher MCE
CD
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
OH exposure (
10
10
molecules cm
-
3
s)
0
0.02
0.04
0.06
0.08
P
O
3
+ NO
2
(ppb/ppb)
A
r
2
= 0.47
0.85
0.9
0.95
MCE
0.85
0.9
0.95
MCE
0
0.02
0.04
0.06
0.08
P
O
3
+ NO
2
(ppb/ppb)
r
2
= 0.23
B
0
0.5
11
.5
22
.5
OH exposure
Fig. 8. Parameterization of the O
3
+ NO
2
production.
The measured production of O
3
+ NO
2
(P
O
3
+ NO
2
) across individual transects exhibits positive correlation with the
span of OH exposure (
OH exposure) and MCE, as shown in (
A
) and (
B
), respectively. Thirty-nine transects are selected for this analysis (Supplementary Materials, section S4).
(
C
) Comparison between predicted and measured P
O
3
+ NO
2
for individual transects. (
D
) The emission ratios (ERs) of NO
2
to CO derived from the field [i.e.,
a
+
b
×max(0,MCE-
c
)]
and measured in the 2016 FIREX FireLab are plotted as a function of MCE.
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