Recent changes in the air-sea gas exchange of methyl chloroform
Paul O. Wennberg,
1,2
Synte Peacock,
3
James T. Randerson,
1,2,4
and Rainer Bleck
5
Received 7 May 2004; revised 14 June 2004; accepted 16 July 2004; published 24 August 2004.
[
1
] Atmospheric measurements of methyl chloroform
provide important constraints on the rate of oxidation of
hydrocarbons in Earth’s atmosphere. Estimates of the loss of
methyl chloroform to the oceans play a small but important
role in these calculations. Here, we examine the ocean-
atmosphere interaction of methyl chloroform in a global
ocean model. Contrary to previous assumptions, these
simulations suggest that the high-latitude oceans are
currently a source of this chemical to the atmosphere. If
confirmed, this finding alters estimates of the change in the
atmospheric oxidation rate of hydrocarbons. We highlight
the potential usefulness of methyl chloroform as a tracer of
ocean circulation.
I
NDEX
T
ERMS
:
0322 Atmospheric
Composition and Structure: Constituent sources and sinks; 0312
Atmospheric Composition and Structure: Air/sea constituent fluxes
(3339, 4504); 0365 Atmospheric Composition and Structure:
Troposphere—composition and chemistry; 0368 Atmospheric
Composition and Structure: Troposphere—constituent transport
and chemistry.
Citation:
Wennberg, P. O., S. Peacock, J. T.
Randerson, and R. Bleck (2004), Recent changes in the air-sea gas
exchange of methyl chloroform,
Geophys. Res. Lett.
,
31
, L16112,
doi:10.1029/2004GL020476.
1. Introduction
[
2
] Manufacture of the solvent 1, 1, 1-trichloroethane
(CCl
3
CH
3
, methyl chloroform, here after MC) was first
controlled and later essentially banned by amendments to
the Montreal Protocol on Substances that Deplete the Ozone
Layer. Because its atmospheric lifetime is about five years,
the concentration of MC in the atmosphere has fallen from
its peak value of
130 pptv in 1991/1992 to less than
35 pptv today [e.g.,
Prinn et al.
, 2001]. The decline in the
concentration of MC is responsible for most of the decrease
in stratospheric chlorine levels observed to date [
Montzka et
al.
, 1999].
[
3
] Atmospheric measurements of the global distribution
of MC have provided important constraints on the rate of
oxidation of hydrocarbons in Earth’s troposphere. Because
the location, quantity, and timing of MC release to the
atmosphere are well known [
McCulloch and Midgley
,
2001], measurements of the atmospheric concentration
allow its lifetime to be reasonably estimated [e.g.,
Prinn
et al.
, 2001]. As with many hydrocarbons, this lifetime is
determined primarily by gas phase oxidation initiated by
hydroxyl radicals (OH). With knowledge of the oxidative
lifetime of MC, the lifetimes of numerous other compounds
with similar chemistry, such as methane [
Hein et al.
, 1997]
and hydrochlorofluorocarbons (HCFCs), can be estimated.
[
4
] Recently, inversion of the atmospheric MC record by
Prinn et al.
[2001] suggested that the atmospheric lifetime of
MC had increased markedly in the 1990s. Prinn et al.
concluded that the increase in the lifetime resulted from a
10–15% decrease in the concentration of OH during this
time period. Such a finding is alarming because it implies a
significant increase in the atmospheric lifetime of numerous
greenhouse gases, including the CFC replacements (HCFCs).
[
5
] We report here simulations of the uptake and redis-
tribution of MC by the ocean. As hypothesized by
Krol and
Lelieveld
[2003], our simulations suggest MC began to
outgas from the high-latitude oceans following its rapid
decrease in the atmosphere in the mid and late 1990s. The
change in ocean exchange described here reduces the
inferred trend in the atmospheric lifetime of MC.
Prinn et
al.
[2001] suggested that a ‘missing source’ of about 117 Gg
(
1
10
9
moles) during the five year period from 1995 to
2000 would be required to yield no trend in the atmospheric
lifetime. The change in the ocean-atmosphere interaction
described here accounts for
30% of this deficit.
2. Interaction of Methyl Chloroform
With Ocean Water
[
6
]
Wine and Chameides
[1989] first described the inter-
action of MC and ocean water. Ship-based measurements of
its concentration in surface water and in the overlying air
confirmed that the oceans were an important sink for MC
[
Butler et al.
, 1991]. Although only sparingly soluble in
water [
Gossett
, 1987], a significant amount of MC has
entered the ocean during the last thirty years. Significant
transfer from the atmosphere to the ocean occurs in the
warm tropical oceans, driven mainly by chemical loss
(hydrolysis) in the surface waters. Uptake has also occurred
at mid- and high- latitudes, due to the higher solubility of
MC in colder waters and two distinct high-latitude water-
mass transformation processes: high-latitude deep convec-
tion, and wind-forced lateral subduction into the main
thermocline of the ocean.
[
7
] It is well established that MC is chemically removed
in warm ocean water. Observations by
Butler et al.
[1991] in
the tropics showed significantly lower dissolved MC than
expected from equilibrium with the atmosphere. They
demonstrated that the flux of MC from the atmosphere to
the ocean was broadly consistent with physical uptake
[
Gossett
, 1987] and subsequent hydrolysis [
Jeffers et al.
,
1989;
Gerkens and Franklin
, 1989]. The hydrolysis lifetime
in ocean water, however, is strongly dependent on temper-
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, VOL. 31, L16112, doi:10.1029/2004GL020476, 2004
1
Division of Geological and Planetary Science, California Institute of
Technology, Pasadena, California, USA.
2
Also at Division of Engineering and Applied Sciences, California
Institute of Technology, Pasadena, California, USA.
3
Department of Geophysical Sciences, University of Chicago, Chicago,
Illinois, USA.
4
Now at the Department of Earth System Science, University of
California, Irvine, California, USA.
5
Los Alamos National Laboratory, Los Alamos, New Mexico, USA.
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L16112
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ature. At 25
°
C, the lifetime against hydrolysis is about one
year. This increases to
50 years at 3
°
C, though this value
is quite uncertain because it is determined by extrapolation
of the laboratory data from warmer temperatures [
Jeffers et
al.
, 1989;
Gerkens and Franklin
, 1989].
[
8
] In previous studies of the atmospheric lifetime of MC,
loss from the atmosphere to the ocean has been treated as a
simple first order process. Consistent with the recommen-
dation of
Butler et al.
[1991], a lifetime (1/k
a-o
)of
60 years
with respect to the atmospheric reservoir is generally
prescribed. Such a simple parameterization is adequate for
the component of MC lost by hydrolysis in warm ocean
water, where the lifetime in ocean water (
1year)is
shorter than in the atmosphere (
5 years). It is, however,
inadequate for loss via physical uptake in the cold (
3
°
C),
high latitude ocean. In this process, the flux is sensitive to
both the time derivative of the atmospheric concentration and
the rate at which mixing of the surface waters into the deep
ocean occurs – as both determine the saturation properties of
the surface waters. Thus, when the atmospheric concentration
of MC was growing exponentially, the flux into the ocean
was proportional to [CH
3
CCl
3
]. After 1990, when the atmo-
spheric concentration abruptly began to decrease, loss to the
high latitude ocean was a complicated function of both
atmospheric MC concentration and ocean dynamics.
3. Global Ocean Model
[
9
] In this study, we have used a 60-year simulation of
ocean transport from the Miami Isopycnal Coordinate
Ocean Model (MICOM) to investigate the uptake of MC.
MICOM is a primitive equation numerical general circula-
tion model that describes the evolution of momentum, mass,
heat and salt in the ocean [
Bleck et al.
, 1992, 1989]. Further
details of the model are provided in auxiliary material
1
.
[
10
] We have forced MICOM with observed (and into the
future with modeled) concentrations of atmospheric MC.
We used the emissions inventory of
McCulloch and Midgley
[2001] along with the tropospheric and stratospheric loss
rates suggested by
Prinn et al.
[2001] to calculate the
concentration in a three box model (northern extra tropics,
the tropics and southern extratropics). The exchange
rate between the hemispheres was picked such that the
latitudinal gradient observed between 1970 and 1990 was
captured. In this model, atmospheric measurements of MC
are reproduced to better than 10%.
[
11
] Tracers (MC and CFC-11) were advected offline
using 30-day averages of isopycnal and diapycnal mass
fluxes. These were obtained by transforming instantaneous
horizontal fluxes in the two non-isopycnic model layers
representing the surface mixed layer and a ‘‘fossil’’ mixed
layer to density coordinates, integrating over time, and
inferring diapycnal fluxes from mass conservation. Air-sea
gas exchange was parameterized using the protocol
described by
Dutay et al.
[2002].
4. Results
[
12
] Figure 1 shows the calculated, annually averaged
flux of MC into and out of the ocean in 1990, 2000, and
2010. In 1990, the flux is everywhere into the ocean. The
largest fluxes are at low-latitudes. Outside the tropics, the
uptake pattern reflects the thermal asymmetry of the anti-
cyclonic subtropical gyres. In 2000, while significant losses
to the ocean are calculated in the tropics, these are nearly
balanced by a net source to the atmosphere from the high
latitude oceans - particularly in the southern hemisphere. By
2010 the net air-sea flux over most of the low- and mid-
latitude ocean is close to zero, reflecting the expectation that
the atmospheric burden has dropped to nearly zero. The
high-latitude northern and southern oceans remain net
sources to the atmosphere, although smaller than in 2000.
[
13
] The calculated time series of the net MC flux into the
ocean, and an inert tracer (no hydrolysis) with the same
Figure 1.
Yearly time-averaged net air-sea flux of methyl
chloroform for 1990, 2000 and 2010 in moles km
2
yr
1
.
Positive fluxes are into the ocean. The zero contours are
highlighted in black.
1
Auxiliary material is available at ftp://ftp.agu.org/apend/gl/
2004GL020476.
L16112
WENNBERG ET AL.: METHYL CHLOROFORM AND THE OCEANS
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solubility, is shown in Figure 2. Also shown is the ocean
loss parameterization used in previous inversions [e.g.,
Prinn et al.
, 2001]. Prior to 1980, when atmospheric
MC concentrations were increasing rapidly, the first-order
loss calculated with an assumed 1/k
a-o
of 60 years agrees
well with the total loss calculated here. Between 1980 and
1992, the first-order loss parameterization is slightly larger
than the best estimate calculated here. Between 1992 and
2000, the difference between the MICOM-calculated loss
and the first-order loss estimate gradually increases.
Between 1980 and 2000, the integrated difference is 5
10
8
moles with much of the difference (3
10
8
moles)
occurring between 1992 and 2000. We have attempted to
estimate the uncertainty in this calculation due to poor
knowledge of the hydrolysis rate at cold temperatures. As
described in the auxiliary material, the error-bars in the upper
panel of Figure 2 correspond to our estimate of the lower and
upper bounds of the hydrolysis rate. In the lower panel of
Figure 2, the fluxes are shown for various latitude bands.
Most of the chemical loss occurs equatorward of 45
°
while
physical uptake, and later release, occurs at high latitudes.
5. Model Evaluation
[
14
] There are only a few published measurements of MC
in the ocean to evaluate the model representation of the
coupled chemistry and physics. For evaluation of the
calculated chemical loss at warm temperature, we rely on
the tropical and subtropical MC surface saturation measure-
ments described by
Butler et al.
[1991] and
Lobert et al.
[1995]. In the tropics, the sub-saturation calculated in this
work is similar to that reported by
Lobert et al.
[1995] and
somewhat smaller than those of
Butler et al.
[1991]. In cold
water, depth profile measurements of MC illustrate that MC
is quite conservative (very slow biological or abiological
hydrolysis loss). Profiles from the north Pacific are de-
scribed by
Lobert et al.
[1995]; additional profiles were
obtained during the 1993, 1994, 1995, 1996, and 1998
World Ocean Circulation Experiment (WOCE) repeat cruise
tracks in the Labrador Sea (AR07W). In both cases, the
profiles are similar to the inert CFC-11 and CFC-12,
showing (unlike CCl
4
) no evidence of rapid loss. See
auxiliary material for further discussion and comparisons
of our calculations with these and other data.
[
15
] To evaluate the calculation of the physical uptake of
MC and its subduction through the thermocline we have
compared calculations of the air-sea exchange of CFC-11
with measurements of CFC-11 made during the WOCE.
Because the atmospheric temporal trajectory of MC (until
1992) and CFC-11 are very similar this is a reasonable
comparison. The calculated inventory of CFC-11 in 1995
was 5.6
10
8
moles, remarkably close to the 5.5 ± 1
10
8
mole inventory estimated from WOCE [
Willey et al.
,
2004]. This suggests that, in the absence of chemical loss,
the model MC inventory would also be quite accurate.
[
16
] In summary, the losses of MC to the tropical ocean
appear to be reasonably well represented by this calculation.
The fluxes out of the high latitude Southern Ocean in the
period 1990–2000 are more uncertain. The Southern Ocean
is, in general, poorly simulated by most ocean models
[
Dutay et al.
, 2002]. On an encouraging note, a sensitivity
run in which gas exchange was set to zero at all latitudes
south of 60
°
S (thereby preventing any tracer from entering
the ocean at high southern latitudes) yielded very similar
results to the control run. This was mainly due to anoma-
lously large air-sea gradients forming in the region just
north of 60
°
S as water moved across this boundary, which
in large part compensated the zero-air-sea-flux requirement.
However, the most important test of these conclusions
would be measurements of MC depth profiles and surface
saturation measurements in the Southern Ocean.
6. Conclusions
[
17
] Consistent with the conclusion of
Krol and Lelieveld
[2003], this study suggests that accurately assessing trends
in the atmospheric lifetime of MC during the period of
rapidly changing emissions (1990–2000) is challenging and
perhaps impossible. Any reservoir for MC with a lifetime
longer than
5 years, later released to the atmosphere, will
produce a significant error in attempts to infer the atmo-
spheric lifetime of this compound. Here we address one
such reservoir – the high latitude ocean. There are,
undoubtedly others.
Krol and Lelieveld
note, for example,
that a delay in the emission of just 65 Gg MC from the early
to the late 1990s (for example by stockpiling in advance of
the Montreal Protocol controls [
McCulloch and Midgley
,
2001]) would be sufficient to remove the entire OH trend
Figure 2.
Air-sea flux of methyl chloroform for the globe
(top) and by latitude band (bottom). Positive is into the
ocean. In the top panel, the black curve (with uncertainty
bounds) shows the calculated air-sea flux; the blue curve
shows the first-order loss parameterization used in previous
inversions and the dashed line shows the difference. Also
shown for reference is the calculated air-sea flux for a
hypothetical tracer which is methyl chloroform without the
hydrolysis loss (top - light blue; bottom dashed).
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WENNBERG ET AL.: METHYL CHLOROFORM AND THE OCEANS
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inferred by
Prinn et al.
[2001]. Such delayed emissions
have been observed in both Europe [
Krol et al.
, 2003] and in
North America [
Barnes et al.
, 2003;
Millet and Goldstein
,
2004]. Following the rapid decline in its emission in 1990,
MC alone is not likely to be a useful tracer of changes in the
gas-phase oxidation rates in Earth’s troposphere. Its future
utility may lie, however, in its pulse-like appearance in the
ocean.
[
18
] Measurements of the pulse of
14
C following atmo-
spheric bomb tests in the 1960s provided significant
constraints on ocean circulation [
Broecker et al.
, 1985].
This study suggests that the rapid rise and fall of atmo-
spheric MC may provide a new tracer against which to test
models of ocean circulation. Unlike bomb tritium, which
also had a pulse-like atmospheric source, MC is a gas whose
atmospheric dispersion does not rely on incorporation into
raindrops, and hence is more easily modeled. Thus,
ocean observations of MC combined with measurements
of CFC-11 and CFC-12 may provide a significant constraint
on diffusive/advective transport in the oceans on the 50–
100 year timescale critical for understanding how the ocean
uptake of CO
2
may change over the next century [
Hall et
al.
, 2002]. The interactions of MC with ocean water are in
some ways simpler than
14
CO
2
(apparently no interaction
with the biosphere) and in other ways more complicated
(hydrolysis). Both MC and
14
C are similar, however, in that
the ocean is currently changing from an atmospheric sink to
an atmospheric source [
Caldeira et al.
, 1998].
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