Published October 22, 2025 | Version Published
Journal Article Open

Classically Estimating Observables of Noiseless Quantum Circuits

  • 1. ROR icon École Polytechnique Fédérale de Lausanne
  • 2. ROR icon Massachusetts Institute of Technology
  • 3. ROR icon Los Alamos National Laboratory
  • 4. ROR icon Google (United States)
  • 5. ROR icon California Institute of Technology

Abstract

We present a classical algorithm based on Pauli propagation for estimating expectation values of arbitrary observables on random unstructured quantum circuits across all circuit architectures and depths, including those with all-to-all connectivity. We prove that, for any architecture where each circuit layer is randomly sampled from a distribution invariant under single-qubit rotations, our algorithm achieves a small error 𝜖 on all circuits except for a small fraction 𝛿. The computational time is polynomial in qubit count and circuit depth for any small constant 𝜖, 𝛿 and quasipolynomial for inverse-polynomially small 𝜖, 𝛿. Our results show that estimating observables of quantum circuits exhibiting chaotic and locally scrambling behavior is classically tractable across all geometries.

Copyright and License

© 2025 American Physical Society.

Acknowledgement

The authors thank Sergio Boixo, Su Yeon Chang, Soonwon Choi, Soumik Ghosh, Sacha Lerch, Jarrod R. McClean, Antonio Anna Mele, Thomas Schuster, and Yanting Teng for valuable discussions and feedback. A. A. and Z. H. acknowledge support from the Sandoz Family Foundation-Monique de Meuron program for Academic Promotion. A. S. acknowledges support by the Simons Foundation (MP-SIP-00001553, AWH) and National Science Foundation Grant No. PHY-2325080. M. S. R. acknowledges support by the Swiss National Science Foundation (Grant No. 200021-219329). M. C. acknowledges support by the Laboratory Directed Research and Development (LDRD) program of Los Alamos National Laboratory (LANL) under Projects No. 20230527ECR and No. 20230049DR. This work was also supported by LANL’s ASC Beyond Moore’s Law project.

Data Availability

The data that support the findings of this article are openly available [80].

Supplemental Material

The Supplemental Material contains the rigorous mathematical derivations of all the main results provided in the Main Text, as well as additional ancillary results and numerical experiments. The intuition behind our main results is also provided in the Main Text, and several proof sketches are included in the End Matter.

press_supp.pdf

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Additional details

Related works

Is new version of
Discussion Paper: arXiv:2409.01706 (arXiv)
Is supplemented by
Dataset: arXiv:2505.21606 (arXiv)
Supplemental Material: https://journals.aps.org/prl/supplemental/10.1103/lh6x-7rc3/press_supp.pdf (URL)

Funding

Sandoz Family Foundation
Simons Foundation
MP-SIP-00001553
National Science Foundation
PHY-2325080
Swiss National Science Foundation
200021-219329
Los Alamos National Laboratory
20230527ECR
Los Alamos National Laboratory
20230049DR

Dates

Accepted
2025-09-08

Caltech Custom Metadata

Caltech groups
Institute for Quantum Information and Matter, Division of Physics, Mathematics and Astronomy (PMA)
Publication Status
Published