Published March 2011
| Published
Journal Article
Open
Reply to 'A Second Opinion on "Operational Earthquake Forecasting: Some Thoughts on Why and How," by Thomas H. Jordan and Lucile M. Jones,' by Stuart Crampin
- Creators
- Jordan, Thomas H.
-
Jones, Lucile M.
Abstract
In folklore, a "silver bullet" is an effective weapon against were-wolves and witches. In earthquake prediction, a silver bullet is a diagnostic precursor—a signal observed before an earthquake that indicates with high probability the location, time, and magnitude of the impending event (Jordan 2006). In his comment, Crampin (2010) claims that shear-wave splitting (SWS) observations provide a silver bullet. He asserts that seismology is thus capable of raising earthquake forecasting out of the low-probability environment to which we assigned it in our recent opinion piece (Jordan and Jones 2010).
Additional Information
© 2011 Seismological Society of America.Attached Files
Published - Jordan2011p13208Seismol_Res_Lett.pdf
Files
Jordan2011p13208Seismol_Res_Lett.pdf
Files
(670.5 kB)
Name | Size | Download all |
---|---|---|
md5:3b7fd6b6b3ac4d6bb13b8a69c771a0bb
|
670.5 kB | Preview Download |
Additional details
- Eprint ID
- 23141
- Resolver ID
- CaltechAUTHORS:20110328-142809288
- Created
-
2011-03-30Created from EPrint's datestamp field
- Updated
-
2021-11-09Created from EPrint's last_modified field